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BAYESIAN LEARNING

Bayesian reasoning provides a probabilistic approach to inference. It is based on the assumption that the quantities of interest are governed by probability distributions and that optimal decisions can be made by reasoning about these probabilities together with observed data

INTRODUCTION

Bayesian learning methods are relevant to study of machine learning for two different reasons.

  • First, Bayesian learning algorithms that calculate explicit probabilities for hypotheses, such as the naive Bayes classifier, are among the most practical approaches to certain types of learning problems
  • The second reason is that they provide a useful perspective for understanding many learning algorithms that do not explicitly manipulate probabilities. 

Features of Bayesian Learning Methods 

  • Each observed training example can incrementally decrease or increase the estimated probability that a hypothesis is correct. This provides a more flexible approach to learning than algorithms that completely eliminate a hypothesis if it is found to be inconsistent with any single example
  • Prior knowledge can be combined with observed data to determine the final probability of a hypothesis. In Bayesian learning, prior knowledge is provided by asserting (1) a prior probability for each candidate hypothesis, and (2) a probability distribution over observed data for each possible hypothesis.
  • Bayesian methods can accommodate hypotheses that make probabilistic predictions
  • New instances can be classified by combining the predictions of multiple hypotheses, weighted by their probabilities.
  • Even in cases where Bayesian methods prove computationally intractable, they can provide a standard of optimal decision making against which other practical methods can be measured.

Practical difficulty in applying Bayesian methods

  1. One practical difficulty in applying Bayesian methods is that they typically require initial knowledge of many probabilities. When these probabilities are not known in advance they are often estimated based on background knowledge, previously available data, and assumptions about the form of the underlying distributions.
  2. A second practical difficulty is the significant computational cost required to determine the Bayes optimal hypothesis in the general case. In certain specialized situations, this computational cost can be significantly reduced.

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